The week ahead : Q1 and monsoon to drive forward..

The 7th pay commission report , good progress of monsoon , renewed buying from FIIs and positive global cues have suddenly changed he mood of the market , at least for the week.  During the week ended the Sensex and the Nifty closed at 27,145 and 8,328 points which is 747 and 239 points up respectively. The RBI’s financial stability report has given further boost to the sentiments. The surge may continue this week too, reflecting on the positive cues. Short covering on derivative expiry may also have given further boost to the surge last week.

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The week ahead : Go stock specific as the crisis unfolds ..

The verdict that world was looking for was delivered last week – Britain votes in favour of exit from EU. The financial markets worldwide tanked due to the panic it has created. The Indian benchmarks too ,  closed down at 26,397 for the Sensex and 8,088 for the Nifty. Comparing to other international indices, the Indian markets put up a resilient show as more buying pressure at downsides kept the support strong. Stocks with more UK exposure like Tata motors , Motherson sumi and Cox and Kings plunged more than 8%. More investors have moved funds from equities to safe havens like Gold. The reason why there is so much of panic is because EU is one of the largest trading blocs with China and US having a mjor chunk of it. The exit would bring in a lot of uncertainty and many trade agreements will have to be reworked. Investors also fear that the exit of UK could be the first of many more exits to come.

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The week ahead : Downward pressure to continue ..

The Indian indices settled on a flat note last Friday after being volatile throughout the week. Concerns over Monsoon , speculation over Dr. Rajan’s continuity as te RBI governor , decision of US fed on interest rates and fears over the outcome of Britain’s exit were enough reasons for the markets to tread nowhere. The Sensex closed at 26,626 and the nifty closed at 8,170 – almost flat. In fact , buying interest at lower ends kept the markets at these levels  without much damage.

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The week ahead : Indices at key juncture..

After touching seven month high on last Tuesday, the Indian benchmark indices retreated – probably profit booking was the reason. Looking back from February 2016 , the indices have moved up more than 18% in 5 months and that’s quite enough to prompt profit booking.

Going ahead, investors may wait before exposing too much funds because we see a possibility of further downward movement in stocks.  Gold prices shooting up in the past couple of days is one reliable evidence that investors are looking to park their funds in safe havens. Worries over Britain’s decision to stay away from EU , Chinese economic data and US Fed meeting that ends on Wednesday are good enough reasons to create too much of uncertainty among investors.

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